Losing Midterms Could Be ‘The End’ of Trump’s Presidency, GOP Speaker Warns

House Speaker Mike Johnson of Louisiana warned that a Republican loss in the House of Representatives during the November midterm elections could derail Donald Trump’s second presidency.

Appearing on Newsmax following Trump’s State of the Union address on February 24, Johnson said that losing the House majority would effectively begin the end of the Trump era. “If we lost the midterms — heaven forbid — if we lost the majority in the House, it would be the end of the Trump presidency in real effect.” Johnson said.

Johnson said the president needs a full term to address issues he claims Trump inherited from former President Joe Biden. “He needs all four years, not just two, to fix the mess. That is what we need,” Johnson said.

Democrats have said that if they regain control of the House, the final two years of Trump’s presidency will include investigations into the Republican administration.

Trump also acknowledged the political risks if voters turn against his party in November. “It’s some deep psychological thing, but when you win the presidency, you don’t win the midterms,” the president said in January, according to The Washington Post.

During a speech at the House Republican policy retreat in January, the president said, “You’ve got to win the midterms because, if we don’t win the midterms … they’ll find a reason to impeach me. I’ll get impeached.”

Democrats, led by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (New York), have also predicted the election outcome. “Democrats are going to take back control of the House of Representatives,” Jeffries said. “We’re going to cut Donald Trump’s presidency in half legislatively,” he told journalist Jim Acosta in January 2026.

Representative Joe Morelle said Trump anticipates electoral losses in November.

“I think he understands – and I’m pretty confident that he knows this – that they’ll lose the midterms and lose them significantly,” Morelle said.

Morelle, the ranking Democrat on the House administration committee, which governs voting laws in Congress, added, “So, in true Donald Trump fashion, the question then is, ‘Well, how do I rig the results?’” according to The Guardian.

During the State of the Union address, Trump again alleged potential election fraud. “They want to cheat,” he said of Democrats. “They have cheated. And their policy is so bad that their only way to get elected is to cheat. And we’re going to stop it.”

Trump urged lawmakers to pass the Save America Act during his State of the Union address. The proposal would compel states to provide voter data to the Department of Homeland Security for review, tighten restrictions on mail-in voting, require voter identification at polling places, and mandate proof of citizenship for voter registration. However, the measure faces a Democratic filibuster in the Senate, making its prospects for passage slim.

With control of Congress at stake, the November 2026 midterm elections are shaping up as a referendum not just on Trump’s agenda, but on the remaining years of his presidency. The outcome could determine whether his second term advances—or grinds to a halt.